From nobody@digitalkingdom.org Tue Aug 25 09:32:10 2009 Received: with ECARTIS (v1.0.0; list lojban-list); Tue, 25 Aug 2009 09:32:11 -0700 (PDT) Received: from nobody by chain.digitalkingdom.org with local (Exim 4.69) (envelope-from ) id 1MfywM-0008Ox-KB for lojban-list-real@lojban.org; Tue, 25 Aug 2009 09:32:10 -0700 Received: from imr-da05.mx.aol.com ([205.188.105.147]) by chain.digitalkingdom.org with esmtp (Exim 4.69) (envelope-from ) id 1MfywJ-0008Lz-82 for lojban-list@lojban.org; Tue, 25 Aug 2009 09:32:10 -0700 Received: from imo-ma03.mx.aol.com (imo-ma03.mx.aol.com [64.12.78.138]) by imr-da05.mx.aol.com (8.14.1/8.14.1) with ESMTP id n7PGW0Sw001094 for ; Tue, 25 Aug 2009 12:32:00 -0400 Received: from MorphemeAddict@wmconnect.com by imo-ma03.mx.aol.com (mail_out_v42.5.) id d.c11.34b53a64 (39953) for ; Tue, 25 Aug 2009 12:31:55 -0400 (EDT) From: MorphemeAddict@wmconnect.com Message-ID: Date: Tue, 25 Aug 2009 12:31:50 EDT Subject: [lojban] Re: How many possible gismu? To: lojban-list@lojban.org MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="part1_c11.34b53a64.37c56bf6_boundary" X-Mailer: 6.0 for Windows XP sub 11501 X-Spam-Flag:NO X-AOL-SENDER: MorphemeAddict@wmconnect.com X-archive-position: 16023 X-ecartis-version: Ecartis v1.0.0 Sender: lojban-list-bounce@lojban.org Errors-to: lojban-list-bounce@lojban.org X-original-sender: MorphemeAddict@wmconnect.com Precedence: bulk Reply-to: lojban-list@lojban.org X-list: lojban-list --part1_c11.34b53a64.37c56bf6_boundary Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit In a message dated 8/25/2009 02:53:53 Eastern Daylight Time, fagricipni@gmail.com writes: > "So even given the rate at which I imagine that new gismu > might be created; it would be extremely unusual for there > to be more than 10 per century, usually less -- 10 per > century would be 100 per millennium, leading to at least > 7429/100 = 74+ millennia before there is even a possibility > of running out of gismu." > You're assuming that change in the world is linear. It's not. It increases more than exponentially. So 10 new gismu per century is a very (hugely) conservative estimate. After the singularity occurs (in about 2045), we might use up all those new gismu in no time at all, since we can't predict what the world will be like after that point. stevo --part1_c11.34b53a64.37c56bf6_boundary Content-Type: text/html; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable In a messag= e dated 8/25/2009 02:53:53 Eastern Daylight Time, fagricipni@gmail.com wri= tes:


"So even given the rate= at which I imagine that new gismu
might be created; it would be extremely unusual for there
to be more than 10 per century, usually less -- 10 per
century would be 100 per millennium, leading to at least
7429/100 =3D 74+ millennia before there is even a possibility
of running out of gismu."


You're assuming that change in the world is linear.  It's not. &n= bsp;It increases more than exponentially.  So 10 new gismu per centur= y is a very (hugely) conservative estimate.  After the singularity oc= curs (in about 2045), we might use up all those new gismu in no time at al= l, since we can't predict what the world will be like after that point.

stevo --part1_c11.34b53a64.37c56bf6_boundary-- To unsubscribe from this list, send mail to lojban-list-request@lojban.org with the subject unsubscribe, or go to http://www.lojban.org/lsg2/, or if you're really stuck, send mail to secretary@lojban.org for help.